Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.901310 8.740044 9.653478 10.726079 11.956077 13.328359 14.983415
2025-12-21 6.604021 7.680347 8.931287 10.505984 12.454264 14.810846 17.915789
2025-12-28 6.370358 7.694482 9.311993 11.462648 14.292287 17.953831 23.161756
2026-01-04 5.917511 7.352132 9.171606 11.694778 15.179095 19.940020 27.156361
2026-01-11 5.369032 6.815735 8.704165 11.410436 15.294060 20.840064 29.702770
2026-01-18 5.113152 6.630014 8.667475 11.685513 16.190210 22.925839 34.313643
2026-01-25 4.743965 6.253907 8.328126 11.482481 16.342336 23.888361 37.263572
2026-02-01 4.441053 5.943067 8.049065 11.330307 16.537454 24.916760 40.462190
2026-02-08 4.165417 5.648988 7.767489 11.141105 16.641230 25.789166 43.505561
2026-02-15 3.907728 5.362375 7.473579 10.902061 16.629890 26.449584 46.244956
2026-02-22 3.721412 5.167771 7.301738 10.837162 16.894342 27.612357 50.158518
2026-03-01 3.477879 4.872912 6.956826 10.462156 16.584868 27.687733 51.839830
2026-03-08 3.220340 4.549755 6.558783 9.986735 16.084802 27.405287 52.844282
2026-03-15 3.046164 4.345454 6.335630 9.788749 16.065844 28.049588 56.061172
2026-03-22 3.113440 4.517951 6.721509 10.661477 18.110428 33.085607 70.794057
2026-03-29 3.040603 4.463363 6.732121 10.873003 18.918120 35.693081 80.275736
2026-04-05 2.884588 4.266373 6.493431 10.613896 18.766293 36.189307 84.246462
2026-04-12 2.832375 4.235065 6.531107 10.864562 19.671503 39.199239 96.193903
2026-04-19 2.708258 4.078695 6.345055 10.679562 19.648960 40.041503 101.941178
2026-04-26 2.600431 3.944315 6.189524 10.540848 19.710037 41.094794 108.691738
2026-05-03 2.494284 3.807888 6.022973 10.368315 19.679503 41.916783 114.957037
2026-05-10 2.387729 3.666176 5.839810 10.150223 19.526403 42.405149 120.248863
2026-05-17 2.311804 3.573599 5.739845 10.090992 19.726792 43.854555 129.562400